Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1014.404617 1144.001549 1285.871177 1453.036420 1645.043427 1859.172912 2116.741169
2025-12-07 791.373514 960.579379 1161.741457 1419.908630 1744.412406 2141.353304 2667.597261
2025-12-14 663.474367 844.857279 1072.502565 1381.801137 1795.086101 2333.906070 3098.796003
2025-12-21 570.071031 753.844500 994.608352 1337.033915 1817.847527 2478.401936 3471.059803
2025-12-28 528.828447 723.468595 988.564275 1381.673590 1959.496325 2793.040284 4114.871341
2026-01-04 487.998554 687.557609 968.696449 1401.171894 2063.166934 3060.785424 4721.746171
2026-01-11 451.479227 653.032420 945.708292 1411.089767 2150.237969 3309.720923 5329.400659
2026-01-18 419.797269 621.896158 923.593181 1418.159951 2230.999093 3554.787404 5961.118710
2026-01-25 398.906274 604.655921 920.089241 1452.670296 2357.708039 3887.018614 6787.184907
2026-02-01 377.660870 584.627359 909.799627 1474.054613 2463.255801 4193.733640 7609.893808
2026-02-08 356.614828 562.877468 894.383281 1484.479566 2549.634968 4474.957019 8423.961818
2026-02-15 337.281338 542.157003 878.543410 1491.948405 2630.389279 4753.728507 9272.903842
2026-02-22 321.733700 526.983373 871.513849 1515.734456 2746.655493 5119.581651 10372.250636
2026-03-01 297.270105 494.760052 832.568616 1477.948890 2742.383139 5250.746811 10997.183741
2026-03-08 275.064194 464.675803 794.768170 1438.267340 2729.189595 5360.679266 11590.407785
2026-03-15 253.970156 434.976456 755.255252 1391.431165 2696.119665 5424.332562 12086.400375
2026-03-22 247.887666 431.739949 763.594677 1438.123687 2859.685204 5927.985790 13717.212568
2026-03-29 238.693924 422.063595 759.057975 1458.521022 2969.790274 6328.128743 15166.128742
2026-04-05 228.932935 410.584110 750.113295 1468.896829 3059.021359 6692.179987 16590.167707
2026-04-12 219.546098 399.122156 740.255289 1476.293711 3142.199287 7052.782200 18074.093033
2026-04-19 214.027931 394.687072 743.800917 1512.401681 3294.868505 7602.088235 20194.330999
2026-04-26 207.347519 387.486092 741.197719 1534.778413 3417.855343 8094.839691 22254.987872
2026-05-03 199.920349 378.280794 733.781671 1545.687842 3514.455702 8533.545454 24247.295528